Research on Drax Group plc (DRX:LON)  from Longspur Clean Energy

Today’s update has confirmed trading is in line and the business is continuing to perform amidst a volatile geopolitical backdrop. Management has reiterated FY26 Adjusted EBITDA in line with consensus of c.£665m on the back of good operational performance year-to-date, while capital returns continue at pace with the first £75m buyback tranche complete and a second £75m tranche kicking off in May, alongside a 17.4p final dividend. Strategically, the closing of the Flexitricity acquisition and £11m of new Capacity Market awards, taking the total to £650m, extend earnings visibility and help to de-risk the pivot to flexible generation. Combined with over £1bn of forward power sales locked in for 2026–2028, the update points to earnings visibility, robust capital discipline, and growing strategic optionality.

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